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La trei zile după împlinirea vârstei de 85 de ani, Papa Benedict al XVI-lea a intrat în al optulea său an de pontificat. Zvonurile privitoare la posibilul său succesor au devenit tot mai insistente, vorbindu-se de retragerea sa iminentă, din motive de sănătate. De asemenea, informaţiile privitoare la un posibil atentat la viaţa Sanctităţii Sale au fost plasate tot în acest registru, ele urmărind să-i acopere Suveranului Pontif o retragere în linişte.
Casa irlandeză de pariuri Paddy Power a lansat deja o ofertă de pariuri pentru posibilul succesor al actualului Papă, pe listă figurând 54 de înalţi clerici. Cea mai mare şansă ar avea-o, în viziunea bookmaker-ilor, nigerianul Francis Arinze, dar trebuie ţinut seama că mai mult de jumătate dintre cardinalii electori (67 din 125) sunt europeni.
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